Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.080713 0.093268 0.107125 0.123556 0.142509 0.163691 0.189168
2026-01-04 0.061707 0.078795 0.099594 0.126777 0.161386 0.204015 0.260575
2026-01-11 0.051259 0.070216 0.094930 0.129520 0.176726 0.238985 0.327502
2026-01-18 0.043660 0.063327 0.090442 0.130567 0.188517 0.269320 0.390856
2026-01-25 0.037264 0.056791 0.085046 0.128929 0.195484 0.292865 0.446655
2026-02-01 0.031652 0.050420 0.078775 0.124758 0.197616 0.308912 0.492511
2026-02-08 0.028554 0.047359 0.076914 0.126771 0.208987 0.339614 0.563864
2026-02-15 0.025683 0.044220 0.074437 0.127304 0.217772 0.366836 0.632355
2026-02-22 0.023473 0.041852 0.072851 0.128970 0.228383 0.397854 0.710321
2026-03-01 0.020872 0.038460 0.069095 0.126368 0.231185 0.415692 0.767131
2026-03-08 0.018733 0.035614 0.065926 0.124354 0.234643 0.434777 0.827937
2026-03-15 0.017329 0.033940 0.064649 0.125590 0.244068 0.465391 0.913178
2026-03-22 0.016594 0.033480 0.065616 0.131271 0.262725 0.515497 1.042174
2026-03-29 0.015640 0.032481 0.065447 0.134732 0.277481 0.559813 1.165158
2026-04-05 0.014720 0.031433 0.065050 0.137647 0.291403 0.603853 1.292483
2026-04-12 0.013711 0.030074 0.063859 0.138761 0.301668 0.641475 1.410564
2026-04-19 0.012543 0.028235 0.061462 0.137020 0.305628 0.666319 1.503910
2026-04-26 0.011272 0.026017 0.058015 0.132587 0.303185 0.677161 1.567480
2026-05-03 0.010659 0.025210 0.057545 0.134726 0.315612 0.721675 1.712051
2026-05-10 0.009981 0.024173 0.056448 0.135293 0.324471 0.759066 1.844246
2026-05-17 0.009447 0.023414 0.055898 0.137064 0.336312 0.804431 2.000362
2026-05-24 0.008664 0.021960 0.053566 0.134298 0.336938 0.823553 2.094748
2026-05-31 0.007992 0.020706 0.051582 0.132157 0.338849 0.845906 2.199642